Race-by-race preview and tips for Canterbury on Friday night
Selections based on a heavy track.
Race 1 - 6:00PM CYREN BAR & GRILL SEAFOOD PLATE (1550 METRES)9. Bedford Square could run a cheeky race fresh at a suitable trip. She was consistent last time in without winning and only real failure came in a group 3. Stretched out well late in her trial and she handles the wet. Each-way.
Racing returns to Canterbury on Friday for the first night meeting of the season..Credit:Bradleyphotos.com.au
Dangers: 6. Mojo Classic wasn’t fancied on debut at Newcastle but warmed up well to hit the lead only to be bloused on the line. Fitter, shapes as though the trip will suit and while no wet-track data he commands respect. 3. Field Legend was only fair on debut but improved at his second outing at Kensington. Small field and if he’s OK in the heavy he’s a good chance. 7. Roller Coaster was a drifter in betting first-up on a heavy track three weeks ago and didn’t do a whole lot. Wouldn’t shock if he lifts.
How to play it: Bedford Square WIN. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
12. Marooniyah has a tricky gate but she couldn’t be coming into this any better after an arrogant trial win a couple of weeks ago. Ran well here on debut on a heavy track then had no luck at her only other start. If she has any early luck she should be hard to beat.
Dangers: 9. Sabalenka was solid enough in the market on debut at Hawkesbury and worked home nicely late over 1000m. Fitter for that, finds James McDonald and if she gets through the ground okay she can be in the finish. 6. Ultimate Pride looked to trial quite okay recently at Randwick and might be one to keep an eye on at odds. Draws well and while she hasn’t been exposed to the wet a while lot she could show up. 2. Deep Romance has been around the mark in both starts and was game in defeat at Hawkesbury after racing wide last time. Another with no wet track form but she’s well worth including in the chances.
How to play it: Marooniyah WIN; Trifecta 12/2,6,9/2,6,9. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
1. Rebel Shadow hasn’t raced since bumping into Promise Of Success on a heavy track back in June and returns as a gelding. He worked nicely with Sejardan recently between races here and with even luck in the run should take plenty of holding out.
Dangers: 8. Sacrimony was a drifter on debut but still hard in the market and he ran on nicely late at Kembla on a heavy track. Awkward gate but he’ll be better for that run and shouldn’t take too long to break through for a win on what he’s shown to date. 2. Celtic Harp disappointed on debut after leading then much improved showing on a soft 7 track here in June to just miss. Trialled twice and well worth keeping safe. 10. Carartie was placed in three of her four starts last prep and latest trials have been handy. Only wet-track exposure was a soft 6 and she ran second. Keep in mind.
How to play it: Rebel Shadow WIN, trifecta 1/2,8,10/2,8,10. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
7. Green Flash ran well first-up then sat back and rounded them up to win over this track and distance two weeks ago. That was on a good track and he hasn’t seen a heavy but this race has fallen away and he’s the one to beat again.
Dangers: 10. Heza Gentleman is a good wet-tracker and if he happens to find the lead with the 52.5kg he could give a sight. Down in class on his last couple and is an each-way chance. 3. Highly Desired was a big winner first-up at Goulburn then not disgraced in the Four Pillars after leading. Must be considered. 6. Dhakuri has been disappointing in two runs since a Newcastle win second-up. Blinkers go on so can’t dismiss yet.
How to play it: Green Flash WIN. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
8. Comme Bella Fille may have been a little flat second-up when a beaten favourite here a couple of weeks ago. Had the right run but didn’t quicken when the sprint went on but only beaten a length so it was a handy enough effort. Wet track doesn’t seem an issue and she’s worth another chance.
Dangers: 1. Master Shuhood could be the knockout horse, he’s right down in class after going around in a group 3 and the St Leger and he doesn’t mind it wet. Go on his third at Kembla three runs back and he’s an each-way chance. 10. Narrated is racing very well and was runner-up in that race after tagging the leader. If she gets a nice run up on the speed again she will be around the mark in a similar race. 3. Formentera tried hard behind Green Flash here second-up and steps up in trip. Is a heavy track winner so if he runs out the extra distance he’s some hope.
How to play it: Comme Bella Fille WIN; Trifecta 8/1,3,10/1,3,10. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
3. Miss Einstein is an interesting runner here first-up, she’s very adept in the wet and can perform well fresh. They’ve found James McDonald to ride and she did trial OK without being asked to anything. Ran second to Expat on a heavy first-up last prep and if she gets the breaks she’s hard to beat.
Dangers: 6. Strange Charm has her first run for Kris Lees and she stretched out strongly to win her second trial this time around. Notched a couple of Canterbury wins in January on soft 6 tracks and she’s one to keep very safe. 9. Speed Legend might be one run away but can’t leave him out after he worked home well fresh into a place here two weeks ago. Fitter for that and last win was an easy one on a heavy 9 at Warwick Farm for his previous trainer. 8. Loch Lomond is likely going to be fitter for his even effort behind Black Duke over 1100m here, he’d come off a six-week break which suggests setback so expecting improvement from him.
How to play it: Miss Einstein WIN; Quinella 3 & 6. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
6. King Kapa looks well placed here second-up on the back of a very nice fresh effort here a couple of weeks back. Settled last and ran on into third behind a smart type. Fitter for that, drawn well and Nash Rawiller rides. Handled a soft track for previous trainer and should go well.
Dangers: 11. Tiny will need some luck from the tricky gate but she’s a good wet-tracker and wasn’t disgraced running a close third here last time out. Runner-up on a heavy track fresh and is in the mix. 4. Shadow Bridge was very game in defeat in the same race after leading, he kept fighting and was only run down in the last 100m. Could have some company up front again here but any breathers he gets will make him hard to run down. 12. Smirnova is unbeaten after two runs at the provincials on good tracks so is a bit of a query. Drawn the inside and if she does handle the going she will have her chance to measure up.
How to play it: King Kapa WIN; Trifecta 6/4,11,12/4,11,12. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
4. Centro Storico was too good leading all the way first-up on a soft 6 and she hasn’t been disgraced as she’s gone up in class since then. Fought hard when fourth in the listed Crowley to Mazu last time and if she can repeat that effort she’ll be a good chance back in grade.
Dangers: 2. Lady Brook didn’t help her cause by blowing the start at Rosehill last time and she’ll also appreciate a class drop. Wet-track form for previous trainer was OK and she should have the chance to improve if she can break with them. 8. Sur La Mer has no wet-track exposure but she’s done little wrong to date. Broke through despite a betting drift first-up then game in a tight finish behind an unbeaten mare. One of the chances. 9. Lady Of Luxury is in great form and tends to handle wet tracks OK. Wide gate not so bad after scratchings and she’s hard to leave out.
How to play it: Centro Storico WIN; Trifecta 4/2,8,9/2,8,9. Odds & Evens: EVENS.
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